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Sebastian Korda vs. Lorenzo Musetti prediction, odds, picks for 2025 ATP Athens
Get Korda vs Musetti predictions for 2025 ATP Athens.

Sebastian Korda will square off with Lorenzo Musetti in the semifinals at the 2025 ATP Athens event on Friday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Lorenzo Musetti as the most likely winner of the Korda vs. Musetti match.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Korda vs. Musetti prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Korda-Musetti men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Musetti a 53% chance of winning against Korda at the 2025 ATP Athens tournament.
Additionally, Musetti has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering**, while the under 25.5 games has a 60% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Sebastian Korda vs. Lorenzo Musetti odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Korda | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +116 | -125 |
| First Set | +110 | -139 |
| Game Spread | -0.5 (-150) | +0.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o25.5 (-105) | u25.5 (-140) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Korda vs. Musetti picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Korda | +116 |
| First Set | Musetti | -140 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Sebastian Korda to win the first set.
Korda vs. Musetti updates and essential details
The 2025 ATP Athens match between Sebastian Korda and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to begin on Friday at 12:00PM ET.
- Who: Sebastian Korda vs. Lorenzo Musetti
- Date: Friday, November 7, 2025
- Approx. Time: 12:00PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Tournament: 2025 ATP Athens, Greece Men's Singles
- Round: Semifinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Sebastian Korda at the 2025 ATP Athens tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Korda vs. Musetti insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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