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Sebastian Baez vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino) 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Baez vs Darderi predictions for ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino).
Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi will meet in the semifinals of the ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino) event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Luciano Darderi as the most likely winner of the Baez vs. Darderi match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Baez vs. Darderi prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Baez-Darderi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Darderi a 55% chance of winning against Baez at the ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino) tournament.
Additionally, Darderi has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baez (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Sebastian Baez vs. Luciano Darderi odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Baez | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +130 | -151 |
| First Set | +120 | -152 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-120) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-106) | u22.5 (-124) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Baez vs. Darderi picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baez | +130 |
| First Set | Darderi | -124 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
Baez vs. Darderi updates and essential details
The ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino) match between Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sebastian Baez vs. Luciano Darderi
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Buenos Aires, Argentina Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Semifinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Luciano Darderi, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Sebastian Baez at the ATP Argentina Open (Abierto Argentino) tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baez vs. Darderi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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