Elise Mertens vs. Liudmila Samsonova prediction, odds, picks for German Open 2026
Get Mertens vs Samsonova predictions for German Open.

Elise Mertens will square off with Liudmila Samsonova in the round of 32 of the German Openon Monday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Elise Mertens as the most likely winner of the Mertens vs. Samsonova match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mertens vs. Samsonova prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Our leading predictive model currently gives Mertens a 69% chance of winning against Samsonova at Berlin.
Additionally, Mertens has a 65% chance of winning the first set, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Elise Mertens vs. Liudmila Samsonova odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -238 | +200 |
| First Set | -200 | +162 |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-135) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mertens vs. Samsonova picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Samsonova | +200 |
| First Set | Samsonova | -135 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mertens vs. Samsonova updates and essential details
The German Open match between Elise Mertens and Liudmila Samsonova is scheduled to start on Monday at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Elise Mertens vs. Liudmila Samsonova
- Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Tournament: Berlin, Germany Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Elise Mertens, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Liudmila Samsonova at Berlin.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



