Sebastian Baez vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi are scheduled to meet in the second round of the 2026 Australian Open on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Sebastian Baez as the most likely winner of the Baez vs. Darderi match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Baez vs. Darderi prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Baez-Darderi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Baez a 63% chance of defeating Darderi in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Baez has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baez (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 38.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Sebastian Baez vs. Luciano Darderi odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Baez vs. Darderi picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Luciano Darderi to win the first set.

Baez vs. Darderi updates and essential details

The 2026 Australian Open match between Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sebastian Baez vs. Luciano Darderi
• Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
• Round: Second round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Sebastian Baez, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Luciano Darderi at the 2026 Australian Open.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baez vs. Darderi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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