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Seattle Sounders vs. St Louis City prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Seattle Sounders vs St Louis City predictions for MLS Saturday.
MLS action continues on Saturday at 9:30 PM ET as St Louis City takes on Seattle at Lumen Field.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Seattle as the most likely winner of the Seattle vs. St Louis City game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Seattle Sounders vs. St Louis City prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Seattle and St Louis City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 58.3% chance of Seattle winning, a 19.1% chance for St Louis City, and a 22.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Seattle Sounders vs. St Louis City odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Seattle | St Louis City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -110 | +290 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | -102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Seattle Sounders vs. St Louis City picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle | -110 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -102 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Seattle to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Seattle Sounders vs. St Louis City: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Seattle win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SEA 1-0 STL | 11.3% |
| SEA 1-1 STL | 10.7% |
| SEA 2-0 STL | 10.4% |
Seattle Sounders vs. St Louis City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Seattle and St Louis City in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to commence at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Sounders vs. St Louis City
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Lumen Field
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Seattle has a 58.3% win probability on Saturday, St Louis City has a 19.1% win probability, and there is a 22.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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