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Seahawks vs. Falcons prediction: Why Seattle is favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons predictions for NFL Sunday.
NFL Week 14 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Seattle Seahawks square off with the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Seahawks as the most likely winner of the Seahawks vs. Falcons game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Seahawks vs. Falcons prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Seahawks-Falcons predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Seahawks and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Seahawks a 72% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Seahawks winning 25-19.
According to our model, the Falcons (+6.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.
Seahawks vs. Falcons odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Seahawks | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-115) | +6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -330 | +280 |
| Total | o44.5 (-110) | u44.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Seahawks vs. Falcons picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons +6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Falcons | +280 |
| Total | Under 44.5 | -108 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Falcons +6.5 at the spread.
Seahawks vs. Falcons TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Seahawks vs. Falcons?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 14, Bijan Robinson is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Seahawks vs. Falcons.
Our projections give Robinson a 49.3% chance of scoring a TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the running back is a 12.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Seattle Seahawks
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) | 46.8% |
| Kenneth Walker (RB) | 42.1% |
| Zach Charbonnet (RB) | 41.0% |
| AJ Barner (TE) | 30.0% |
| Rashid Shaheed (WR) | 22.8% |
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson (RB) | 49.3% |
| Tyler Allgeier (RB) | 30.9% |
| Kyle Pitts (TE) | 27.0% |
| Darnell Mooney (WR) | 22.1% |
| David Sills (WR) | 18.5% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Seattle Seahawks
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) | 11.4% |
| Kenneth Walker (RB) | 9.9% |
| Zach Charbonnet (RB) | 9.6% |
| AJ Barner (TE) | 6.5% |
| Rashid Shaheed (WR) | 4.7% |
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson (RB) | 12.6% |
| Tyler Allgeier (RB) | 6.9% |
| Kyle Pitts (TE) | 5.8% |
| Darnell Mooney (WR) | 4.6% |
| David Sills (WR) | 3.8% |
Seahawks vs Falcons player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Seahawks and Falcons. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Seahawks' Sam Darnold is projected for 230 passing yards. The Falcons' Kirk Cousins is expected to throw for 219 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Sam Darnold (SEA) | 230 |
| Kirk Cousins (ATL) | 219 |
Seahawks rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker | 65 |
| Zach Charbonnet | 40 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 5 |
Falcons rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 71 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 27 |
| Kirk Cousins | 4 |
Seahawks receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 96 |
| Cooper Kupp | 37 |
| AJ Barner | 33 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 27 |
| Kenneth Walker | 17 |
Falcons receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts | 54 |
| Darnell Mooney | 48 |
| Bijan Robinson | 39 |
| David Sills | 29 |
| Dylan Drummond | 22 |
Seahawks vs. Falcons game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 14 game between the Falcons and Seahawks at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Seahawks, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Falcons in Week 14 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Seahawks vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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