Mariners vs. White Sox prediction: Why Seattle is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/10/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Sunday.

Seattle Mariners-Chicago White Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox MLB prediction for Sunday, May 10, 2026.

MLB action continues on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET as the Seattle Mariners square off with the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field.

The White Sox will start Davis Martin (5-1, 1.64 ERA), pitting him against Logan Gilbert (2-3, 4.30 ERA) for the Mariners.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mariners as the most likely winner of the Mariners vs. White Sox game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mariners vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Mariners and White Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Mariners a 57% chance of beating the White Sox.

According to our model, the White Sox (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of eight runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Mariners vs. White Sox odds [5/10/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mariners White Sox
Run Line -1.5 (+125) +1.5 (-142)
Moneyline -135 +117
Total o8 (-106) u8 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mariners vs. White Sox picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Mariners -1.5 +125
Moneyline Mariners -135
Total Over 8 -106

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mariners to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Mariners vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB action between the White Sox and Mariners at Rate Field is scheduled to start at 2:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Mariners, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the White Sox in Sunday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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