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Kraken vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [2/23/2025]
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.

NHL action continues on Sunday at 6:00PM ET as the Seattle Kraken take on the favored Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Seattle-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Lightning with a win probability of 67%, while the Kraken have 33%."
For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Kraken vs. Lightning predictions page.
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Kraken vs. Kraken Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Kraken and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 67% chance of beating the Kraken.
According to our model, the Kraken (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Kraken vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kraken | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-106) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +235 | -275 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Kraken vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Kraken vs. Lightning matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Kraken vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Kraken vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Jake Guentzel is most likely to score the first goal in Kraken vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel an 8.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 38.3% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Seattle Kraken
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matty Beniers | 5.6% |
| Jared McCann | 5.1% |
| Jaden Schwartz | 3.6% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 8.3% |
| Brayden Point | 7.9% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.9% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matty Beniers | 28.8% |
| Jared McCann | 25.3% |
| Kaapo Kakko | 20.3% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 42.5% |
| Brayden Point | 39.5% |
| Jake Guentzel | 38.3% |
Kraken vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's matchup between the Lightning and Kraken at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Sunday, February 23, 2025
- Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Kraken vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Seattle vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Kraken on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kraken vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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