San Jose State vs. New Mexico prediction: New Mexico favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/12/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Thursday at 11:30 PM ET as San Jose State takes on New Mexico in men's college basketball action at Thomas & Mack Center.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts New Mexico as the most likely winner of the San Jose State vs. New Mexico game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

San Jose State vs. New Mexico prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between San Jose State and New Mexico 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives New Mexico a 93% chance of defeating San Jose State. Our predicted final score has New Mexico winning 84-67.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and San Jose State and New Mexico each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 154.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

San Jose State vs. New Mexico odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	San Jose State	New Mexico
Spread	+16.5 (-115)	-16.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+1100	-1800
Total	o154.5 (-110)	u154.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

San Jose State vs. New Mexico picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	New Mexico -16.5	-102
Moneyline	San Jose State	+1100
Total	Under 154.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 154.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

San Jose State vs. New Mexico game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between New Mexico and San Jose State at Thomas & Mack Center is scheduled to start at 11:30 PM ET.

• Who: San Jose State vs. New Mexico
• Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Time: 11:30 PM ET/8:30PM PT
• Venue: Thomas & Mack Center

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Conclusion

We predict New Mexico, with a 93% win probability, will likely beat San Jose State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate San Jose State vs. New Mexico insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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