San Jose State vs. Boise State prediction: Boise State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/11/2026]

Boise State and San Jose State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Thomas & Mack Center on Wednesday, with tipoff at 11:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Boise State as the most likely winner of the San Jose State vs. Boise State game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

San Jose State vs. Boise State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between San Jose State and Boise State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Boise State a 90% chance of defeating San Jose State. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 81-67.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and San Jose State and Boise State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 146.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

San Jose State vs. Boise State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	San Jose State	Boise State
Spread	+14.5 (-110)	-14.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+900	-1400
Total	o146.5 (-115)	u146.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

San Jose State vs. Boise State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	San Jose State +14.5	-110
Moneyline	San Jose State	+900
Total	Over 146.5	-115

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 146.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

San Jose State vs. Boise State game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball action between Boise State and San Jose State at Thomas & Mack Center is scheduled to start at 11:30 PM ET.

• Who: San Jose State vs. Boise State
• Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Time: 11:30 PM ET/8:30PM PT
• Venue: Thomas & Mack Center

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Conclusion

We predict Boise State, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat San Jose State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate San Jose State vs. Boise State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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