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Sharks vs. Golden Knights prediction: Vegas favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Jose Sharks vs Vegas Golden Knights predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Vegas Golden Knights will face the San Jose Sharks in NHL action at T-Mobile Arena on Tuesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Sharks vs. Golden Knights game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Sharks vs. Golden Knights prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Sharks and Golden Knights 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 65% chance of beating the Sharks.
According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Sharks vs. Golden Knights odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sharks | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-135) | -1.5 (+120) |
| Moneyline | +185 | -220 |
| Total | o6 (-115) | u6 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sharks vs. Golden Knights picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Sharks +1.5 | -135 |
| Moneyline | Sharks | +185 |
| Total | Under 6 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sharks to win.
Sharks vs. Golden Knights player props
Who will score a goal in Sharks vs. Golden Knights?
According to our model, Tomas Hertl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sharks vs. Golden Knights.
Our projections give Hertl a 40.9% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is an 8.2% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 38.6% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 30.0% |
| William Eklund | 23.4% |
| Jeff Skinner | 19.4% |
| Collin Graf | 19.2% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl | 40.9% |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 38.7% |
| Mark Stone | 30.7% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 30.7% |
| Mitch Marner | 27.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 8.0% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 5.4% |
| William Eklund | 4.1% |
| Collin Graf | 3.5% |
| Jeff Skinner | 3.4% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl | 8.2% |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 7.7% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 5.9% |
| Mark Stone | 5.9% |
| Mitch Marner | 5.4% |
Sharks vs. Golden Knights game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Golden Knights and Sharks at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Jose Sharks vs. Vegas Golden Knights
- Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sharks vs. Golden Knights insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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