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Sharks vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [12/13/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get San Jose Sharks vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Pittsburgh Penguins will take on the San Jose Sharks in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday, starting at 3:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Sharks vs. Penguins game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Sharks vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Sharks and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Penguins a 60% chance of beating the Sharks.
According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of staying under.
Sharks vs. Penguins odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sharks | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-180) | -1.5 (+160) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -160 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sharks vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins -1.5 | +160 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | -160 |
| Total | Over 6 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins -1.5 at the spread.
Sharks vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Sharks vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Sidney Crosby is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sharks vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Crosby a 42.6% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 9.0% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 34.3% |
| Will Smith | 28.3% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 23.8% |
| Adam Gaudette | 23.6% |
| William Eklund | 22.8% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 42.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 36.9% |
| Anthony Mantha | 29.4% |
| Thomas Novak | 27.3% |
| Kevin Hayes | 22.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 6.9% |
| Will Smith | 5.4% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 4.3% |
| Jeff Skinner | 4.3% |
| William Eklund | 4.1% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 9.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 7.0% |
| Anthony Mantha | 5.6% |
| Thomas Novak | 4.9% |
| Ben Kindel | 4.2% |
Sharks vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Penguins and Sharks at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00PM ET.
- Who: San Jose Sharks vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
- Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sharks vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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