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Sharks vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [12/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Friday.
NHL action continues on Friday at 8:00PM ET as the San Jose Sharks take on the favored Dallas Stars at American Airlines Center.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Stars as the most likely winner of the Sharks vs. Stars game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Sharks vs. Stars prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NHL game between the Sharks and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Stars a 70% chance of beating the Sharks.
According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Sharks vs. Stars odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sharks | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-108) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +225 | -275 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sharks vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Sharks +1.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Sharks | +225 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sharks +1.5 at the spread.
Sharks vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Sharks vs. Stars?
According to our model, Wyatt Johnston is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sharks vs. Stars.
Our projections give Johnston a 44.1% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is a 9.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 32.7% |
| Will Smith | 28.3% |
| William Eklund | 22.4% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 22.1% |
| Jeff Skinner | 20.4% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 44.1% |
| Jason Robertson | 43.8% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 40.8% |
| Roope Hintz | 34.5% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 20.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 6.1% |
| Will Smith | 5.0% |
| William Eklund | 4.0% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 3.7% |
| Jeff Skinner | 3.7% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 9.6% |
| Jason Robertson | 9.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 8.8% |
| Roope Hintz | 6.7% |
| Jamie Benn | 3.5% |
Sharks vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Stars and Sharks at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: San Jose Sharks vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sharks vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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