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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders prediction, odds, MLS picks [3/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders predictions for MLS Sunday.
San Jose will square off with Seattle in MLS action at PayPal Park on Sunday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Seattle as the most likely winner of the San Jose vs. Seattle game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLS matchup between San Jose and Seattle 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 37.4% chance of San Jose winning, a 37.9% chance for Seattle, and a 24.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| San Jose | Seattle | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | +230 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -144 | +118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle | +230 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +118 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Seattle to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SJE 1-1 SEA | 11.5% |
| SJE 2-1 SEA | 8.4% |
| SJE 1-2 SEA | 8.4% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between San Jose and Seattle in MLS at PayPal Park is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders
- Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: PayPal Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, San Jose has a 37.4% win probability on Sunday, Seattle has a 37.9% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate San Jose vs. Seattle insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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