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San Diego State vs. Boise State prediction: Boise State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Diego State vs Boise State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Boise State and San Diego State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at ExtraMile Arena on Tuesday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Boise State as the most likely winner of the San Diego State vs. Boise State game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
San Diego State vs. Boise State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball game between San Diego State and Boise State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Boise State a 55% chance of beating San Diego State. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 75-73.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and San Diego State and Boise State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 143.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
San Diego State vs. Boise State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | San Diego State | Boise State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | -105 | -113 |
| Total | o143.5 (-115) | u143.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
San Diego State vs. Boise State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Boise State -1.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Boise State | -113 |
| Total | Over 143.5 | -115 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Boise State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
San Diego State vs. Boise State game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball game between Boise State and San Diego State at ExtraMile Arena is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Diego State vs. Boise State
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: ExtraMile Arena
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Conclusion
We predict Boise State, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat San Diego State on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate San Diego State vs. Boise State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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