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Spurs vs. Jazz prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [1/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz predictions for NBA Thursday.
NBA action continues on Thursday at 9:00 PM ET as the San Antonio Spurs square off with the Utah Jazz at Delta Center.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Jazz game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Jazz lineup will feature stars like Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh and Ace Bailey, while the Spurs will rely on Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Jazz prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Spurs and Jazz 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Spurs an 83% chance of beating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 124-113.
According to our model, the Jazz (+12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 238.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Jazz odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -12.5 (-102) | +12.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -590 | +450 |
| Total | o238.5 (-115) | u238.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Jazz picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jazz +12.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Jazz | +450 |
| Total | Under 238.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +12.5 at the spread.
Spurs vs. Jazz player props
Betting on Spurs vs. Jazz NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Delta Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 26 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists, while Keyonte George is projected to have 24 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Jazz.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 26 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 56 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 21 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 42 |
| Stephon Castle | 20 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 45 |
| Keldon Johnson | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 31 |
| J. Champagnie | 15 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 32 |
Jazz prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Jazz:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George | 24 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 44 |
| B. Sensabaugh | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| Ace Bailey | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Jusuf Nurkic | 12 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 38 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
Spurs vs. Jazz game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Jazz and Spurs at Delta Center is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz
- Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Delta Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Thursday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 56 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Jazz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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