Spurs vs. Jazz prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [1/22/2026]

NBA action continues on Thursday at 9:00 PM ET as the San Antonio Spurs square off with the Utah Jazz at Delta Center.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Jazz game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Jazz lineup will feature players like Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh and Ace Bailey, while the Spurs will look to Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Spurs vs. Jazz prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Jazz 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Spurs an 83% chance of defeating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 123-112.

According to our model, the Jazz (+12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 238.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Spurs vs. Jazz odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Spurs	Jazz
Spread	-12.5 (-106)	+12.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-520	+450
Total	o238.5 (-115)	u238.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Spurs vs. Jazz picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Jazz +12.5	-110
Moneyline	Spurs	-520
Total	Under 238.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +12.5 at the spread.

Spurs vs. Jazz player props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the San Antonio vs. Utah matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Delta Center.

Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 26 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists, while Keyonte George is projected to have 24 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Jazz.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Spurs prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
V. Wembanyama	26	11	4	2	56
De'Aaron Fox	21	4	7	2	42
Stephon Castle	20	5	8	2	45
Keldon Johnson	16	7	2	1	31
J. Champagnie	15	7	2	3	32

Jazz prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Jazz:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Keyonte George	24	4	6	3	44
B. Sensabaugh	14	4	2	2	26
Ace Bailey	13	4	2	2	26
Jusuf Nurkic	12	10	5	1	38
Kyle Filipowski	10	7	2	1	25

Spurs vs. Jazz game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Jazz and Spurs at Delta Center is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz
• Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Delta Center

Conclusion

We predict the Spurs, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Thursday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 56 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Jazz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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