Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Jalen Brunson projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [3/1/2026]

The New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs will meet in NBA action at Madison Square Garden on Sunday, with tipoff at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model gives the Knicks a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Spurs.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Knicks lineup will feature players like Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby, while the Spurs will rely on Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Spurs vs. Knicks matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Knicks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Knicks a 52% chance of beating the Spurs. Our predicted final score has the Knicks winning 114-113.

According to our model, the Knicks (-1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Spurs vs. Knicks odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Spurs vs. Knicks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Knicks -1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Spurs vs. Knicks player props

Looking for San Antonio vs. New York NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Madison Square Garden.

Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 24 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists, while Jalen Brunson is projected to have 27 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Knicks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Spurs prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:

Knicks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Knicks:

Spurs vs. Knicks game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Knicks and Spurs at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks
• Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Knicks, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs on Sunday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 51 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Knicks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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