NBA picks today: Sunday's best bets include Thunder vs. Mavericks play [3/1/2026]

Mavericks +15.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 58.3%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Mavericks (8:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Mavericks +15.5 at -105 odds. A 58.3% probability produces an edge of 7.1%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Nets +11.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Nets (3:30PM ET, Sunday)

Nets +11.5 carries a 4.4% edge and a probability of 55.6% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Kings ML (+600)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 16.6%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Lakers (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

Kings ML at +600 odds shows a 3.0% edge, supported by a 16.6% probability in simulations.

Grizzlies ML (-110)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Pacers (5:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 2.9% edge and 55.3% probability make Grizzlies at the moneyline at a value play in the Grizzlies vs. Pacers matchup, per our model.

Kings +13 (-110)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Lakers (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

Kings +13 at -110 odds presents a 2.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.3%.

Bucks ML (-158)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 63.8%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Bulls (3:30PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on Bucks to win at -158 odds, supported by an edge of 2.5%.

Pelicans +8.5 (-105)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Pelicans vs. Clippers (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on Pelicans +8.5 at -105 odds. A 53.4% probability produces a 2.2% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

NBA best bets summary: Sunday, 3/1/2026

As of 4:17AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks +15.5	-105 @ BetMGM	7.1%	58.3%
Cavaliers vs. Nets	Nets +11.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.4%	55.6%
Kings vs. Lakers	Kings ML	+600 @ BetMGM	3.0%	16.6%
Grizzlies vs. Pacers	Grizzlies ML	-110 @ DraftKings	2.9%	55.3%
Kings vs. Lakers	Kings +13	-110 @ FanDuel	2.9%	55.3%
Bucks vs. Bulls	Bucks ML	-158 @ FanDuel	2.5%	63.8%
Pelicans vs. Clippers	Pelicans +8.5	-105 @ BetMGM	2.2%	53.4%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [3/1/2026]

• Spurs vs. Knicks (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Bucks vs. Bulls (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Cavaliers vs. Nets (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Grizzlies vs. Pacers (5:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Pistons vs. Magic (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Hawks (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• 76ers vs. Celtics (8:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Thunder vs. Mavericks (8:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Pelicans vs. Clippers (9:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Kings vs. Lakers (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for March 1, 2026, featuring plays such as Mavericks +15.5 and Nets +11.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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