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Rockets vs. Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Wizards NBA game on March 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIVE
1st 4:12
NBA
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LIVE
1st 4:12
Updating LIVE
NBA
15
:
17
Mar 3, 12AM Capital One Arena
Mar 3, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
Wizards | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
83%
17%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
Wizards | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Q1 4:12 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q1 4:28 Wizards makes three point jump shot
Q1 4:35 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:46 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:10 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:22 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:36 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:07 Wizards makes three point jump shot
Q1 6:28 Wizards misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:04 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
15-17
Wizards 60 second timeout
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
13-17
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-14
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-14
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
11-14
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Wizards 60 second timeout
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-11
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-11
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
9-11
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
6-11
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
6-8
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
6-6
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+3
Kyshawn George makes three point jump shot (Tre Johnson assists)
4-6
Tre Johnson defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-3
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-3
Wizards personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
2-3
Tre Johnson offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
2-0
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Tre Johnson defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun vs. Juju Reese (Amen Thompson gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Juju Reese, Bilal Coulibaly)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 30 | C. Capela | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 17 | T. Eason | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 7 | K. Durant | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 15 | R. Sheppard | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 2 | D. Finney-Smith | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 15 | J. Reese | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 7 | B. Carrington | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 0 | B. Coulibaly | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 12 | T. Johnson | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 18 | K. George | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Rockets vs. Wizards: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Wizards
- Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -14.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets -1000, Wizards +700
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 86%
- Wizards: 14%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 119-106 Wizards.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 86%, while the Wizards have a win probability of 14%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Capital One Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Wizards predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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