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Rockets vs. Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Wizards NBA game on March 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
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Mar 3, 12AM Capital One Arena
Mar 3, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 26 | 34 | 34 | 29 | 123 |
Wizards | 30 | 21 | 29 | 38 | 118 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 26 | 34 | 34 | 29 | 123 |
Wizards | 30 | 21 | 29 | 38 | 118 |
Q4 00:00 Sharife Cooper makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Wizards misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Rockets makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
Q4 1:34 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:51 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:57 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+3
Sharife Cooper makes three point jump shot
123-118
End of 4th Quarter.
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
Rockets turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
123-114
Rockets personal foul
+1
Bub Carrington makes technical free throw 1 of 1
123-115
Rockets turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
123-112
Wizards turnover
Rockets turnover
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
123-110
Rockets personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
+1
Sharife Cooper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-109
+1
Sharife Cooper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-110
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
120-108
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
118-108
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
118-106
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
116-106
Rockets turnover
Sharife Cooper offensive rebound
+2
Sharife Cooper makes two point tip layup
116-104
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
113-102
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Bilal Coulibaly personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
113-102
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
113-102
Rockets turnover
Wizards turnover
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 3
111-99
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Sharife Cooper)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
112-99
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Sharife Cooper)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 3 of 3
113-99
Rockets personal foul
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-98
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-99
Rockets turnover
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-97
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Julian Reese, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins)
Jaden Hardy misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
110-96
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
110-94
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
108-94
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
108-92
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
106-92
Will Riley offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Wizards turnover
Wizards personal foul
Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-89
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Sharife Cooper)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
105-89
Wizards personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-86
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-86
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards personal foul
Wizards personal foul
Wizards turnover
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
103-86
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
103-84
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
101-84
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Holiday offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
101-82
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
99-82
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
99-80
Wizards personal foul
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
96-80
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Julian Reese, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Rockets offensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses two point tip layup
Wizards personal foul
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards turnover
Rockets personal foul
Clint Capela turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Sharife Cooper)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
94-80
Rockets violation
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
94-78
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
92-78
Bub Carrington offensive rebound
Will Riley misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
92-75
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
90-75
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Rockets personal foul
Rockets personal foul
Rockets personal foul
Jamir Watkins technical foul (Double)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Sharife Cooper)
Tari Eason technical foul (Double)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Sharife Cooper)
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Bilal Coulibaly, Sharife Cooper)
Wizards technical foul
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Bilal Coulibaly, Sharife Cooper)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Sharife Cooper)
Tari Eason ejected from the game (Other)
Bilal Coulibaly technical foul
Trae Young ejected from the game (Other)
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Sharife Cooper)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
90-73
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
88-73
Rockets turnover
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-71
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Bilal Coulibaly, Sharife Cooper)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-71
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Kevin Durant offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
86-71
Rockets personal foul
Rockets personal foul
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
86-69
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
83-69
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
81-69
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Bub Carrington offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
78-69
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
76-69
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Sharife Cooper)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
76-67
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+3
Bub Carrington makes three point jump shot (Kyshawn George assists)
74-67
Rockets turnover
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
74-64
Wizards personal foul
Rockets personal foul
Kevin Durant turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
74-61
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
74-59
Rockets violation
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
74-57
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
71-57
Rockets personal foul
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
71-55
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
71-53
Rockets personal foul
+1
Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-52
+1
Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-53
Amen Thompson turnover (lost ball)
Jump ball. (Tre Johnson gains possession)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
69-51
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
67-51
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
65-51
Wizards turnover
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
62-51
Wizards personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-51
Jump ball. (Kevin Durant gains possession)
Julian Reese turnover (lost ball)
Rockets turnover
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Julian Reese, Bilal Coulibaly)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
59-51
Wizards personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 1
60-51
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Tre Johnson defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
57-51
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
57-48
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
55-48
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
53-48
Rockets turnover
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
53-46
Wizards personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-43
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-43
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
51-43
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-43
Kyshawn George misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly)
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-42
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-42
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Julian Reese, Bilal Coulibaly)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
47-42
Tre Johnson defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun turnover (bad pass)
Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
47-39
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Kyshawn George, Julian Reese, Justin Champagnie, Bilal Coulibaly)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
47-37
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
45-37
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
42-37
Wizards turnover
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets personal foul
Wizards personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-37
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Wizards personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-37
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
37-37
Rockets personal foul
Jaden Hardy misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Kyshawn George, Julian Reese, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley)
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Wizards 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards challenge timeout
Wizards 60 second timeout
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
37-35
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
35-35
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
33-35
Rockets turnover
Wizards personal foul
Julian Reese turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
33-33
Wizards turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
31-33
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
28-33
Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
28-30
Wizards turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Will Riley defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Julian Reese, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
26-30
Clint Capela offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
26-28
Clint Capela misses two point tip layup
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
24-28
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
24-25
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-22
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-22
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
22-22
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
20-22
Rockets turnover
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Sharife Cooper)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Julian Reese, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Sharife Cooper)
Rockets challenge timeout
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Sharife Cooper)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
20-19
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
18-19
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-18
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-19
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
15-17
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Julian Reese, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley, Sharife Cooper)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
13-17
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-14
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-14
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
11-14
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Wizards 60 second timeout
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-11
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-11
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
9-11
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
6-11
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
6-8
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
6-6
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+3
Kyshawn George makes three point jump shot (Tre Johnson assists)
4-6
Tre Johnson defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-3
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-3
Wizards personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
2-3
Tre Johnson offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
2-0
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Tre Johnson defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun vs. Juju Reese (Amen Thompson gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George, Juju Reese, Bilal Coulibaly)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 15 | R. Sheppard | 19 | 7 | 10 |
| F | 7 | K. Durant | 30 | 7 | 1 |
| C | 28 | A. Sengun | 32 | 11 | 2 |
| G | 0 | A. Holiday | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 2 | D. Finney-Smith | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 0 | B. Coulibaly | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 7 | B. Carrington | 11 | 5 | 4 |
| G-F | 9 | J. Champagnie | 12 | 2 | 2 |
| G | 13 | S. Cooper | 21 | 2 | 3 |
| F | 27 | W. Riley | 7 | 2 | 1 |
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Rockets vs. Wizards: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Wizards
- Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -14.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets -1000, Wizards +700
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 86%
- Wizards: 14%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 119-106 Wizards.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 86%, while the Wizards have a win probability of 14%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Capital One Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Wizards predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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