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Spurs vs. Hawks prediction: Why San Antonio is favored to win Friday's NBA game [12/19/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks predictions for NBA Friday.
The Atlanta Hawks will square off with the San Antonio Spurs in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Hawks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Trae Young, while the Spurs will rely on Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Spurs a 61% chance of defeating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 121-118.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Spurs and Hawks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 239.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Hawks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-108) | +3 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +128 |
| Total | o239.5 (-115) | u239.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs -3 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Spurs | -142 |
| Total | Under 239.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 239.5 total points.
Spurs vs. Hawks player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the San Antonio vs. Atlanta game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 22 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 24 points, 11 rebounds and 8 assists for the Hawks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 22 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 51 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 21 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 40 |
| Stephon Castle | 18 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 40 |
| Devin Vassell | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Dylan Harper | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
Hawks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 24 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 56 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 18 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Trae Young | 17 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 35 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| Dyson Daniels | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 36 |
Spurs vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Hawks and Spurs at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Friday, December 19, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Friday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 56 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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