Saint Louis vs. Georgia prediction: Georgia favored to win men's March Madness First Round matchup [3/19/2026]

Georgia will square off with Saint Louis, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at KeyBank Center on Thursday, starting at 9:55 PM ET.

For this First Round matchup, Georgia—a fast-tempo team generating second chances inside— come up against Saint Louis, a mid-major powerhouse top 10 in both 3P offense and defense.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Georgia a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Saint Louis.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Saint Louis vs. Georgia matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Saint Louis vs. Georgia prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAAM Tournament matchup between Saint Louis and Georgia 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Georgia a 54% chance of defeating Saint Louis. Our predicted final score has Georgia winning 82-81.

According to our model, Saint Louis (+1.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 167.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Saint Louis vs. Georgia odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Saint Louis	Georgia
Spread	+1.5 (-108)	-1.5 (-112)
Moneyline	+110	-130
Total	o167.5 (-110)	u167.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Saint Louis vs. Georgia picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Saint Louis +1.5	-108
Moneyline	Saint Louis	+110
Total	Under 167.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 167.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Saint Louis vs. Georgia game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between Georgia and Saint Louis at KeyBank Center is scheduled to start at 9:55 PM ET.

• Who: Saint Louis vs. Georgia
• Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
• Time: 9:55 PM ET/6:55PM PT
• Venue: KeyBank Center
• March Madness stage: First Round

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Conclusion

We predict Georgia, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Saint Louis this men's March Madness First Round matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saint Louis vs. Georgia insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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