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Sacramento State vs. Montana prediction: Why Montana is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/26/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Sacramento State vs Montana predictions for college basketball Thursday.

Sacramento State-Montana Predictions and Game Preview.
Sacramento State vs. Montana men's college basketball prediction for Thursday, February 26, 2026.

Montana and Sacramento State will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Dahlberg Arena on Thursday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Montana as the most likely winner of the Sacramento State vs. Montana game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Sacramento State vs. Montana prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Sacramento State and Montana 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Montana a 78% chance of defeating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Montana winning 85-76.

According to our model, Montana (-8.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 161.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Sacramento State vs. Montana odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Sacramento State Montana
Spread +8.5 (-115) -8.5 (-105)
Moneyline +300 -375
Total o161.5 (-112) u161.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sacramento State vs. Montana picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Montana -8.5 -105
Moneyline Montana -375
Total Under 161.5 -105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Montana -8.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Sacramento State vs. Montana game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between Montana and Sacramento State at Dahlberg Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Sacramento State vs. Montana
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
  • Venue: Dahlberg Arena

Conclusion

We predict Montana, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sacramento State vs. Montana insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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