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Kings vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for 26 points in Saturday's NBA game [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Saturday.
The San Antonio Spurs and Sacramento Kings are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Moody Center on Saturday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Spurs game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature players like Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, while the Kings will look to Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray and DeMar DeRozan.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA game between the Kings and Spurs 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Spurs a 91% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 123-107.
According to our model, the Kings (+18) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 230.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Kings vs. Spurs odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +18 (-108) | -18 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +1040 | -1650 |
| Total | o230.5 (-110) | u230.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Spurs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +18 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +1040 |
| Total | Under 230.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +18 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kings vs. Spurs player props
NBA player props are a common way to wager on Saturday's Kings vs. Spurs matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moody Center.
Maxime Raynaud is expected to lead the Kings with 14 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 26 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists for the Spurs.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Kings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Raynaud | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Keegan Murray | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| R. Westbrook | 13 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 30 |
| Devin Carter | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
Spurs prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 26 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 54 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Stephon Castle | 16 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 36 |
| Dylan Harper | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
Kings vs. Spurs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Spurs and Kings at Moody Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Moody Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Saturday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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