Kings vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [2/23/2026]

NBA action continues on Monday at 8:00 PM ET as the Sacramento Kings square off with the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Grizzlies game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like GG Jackson, Scotty Pippen and Jaylen Wells, while the Kings will be led by Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan and Maxime Raynaud.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA matchup between the Kings and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 59% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 117-114.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Kings and Grizzlies each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Kings vs. Grizzlies odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Kings vs. Grizzlies player props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Kings vs. Grizzlies game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.

Keegan Murray is expected to lead the Kings with 16 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while GG Jackson is projected to have 14 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Grizzlies prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:

Kings vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details

Monday's game between the Grizzlies and Kings at FedExForum is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Date: Monday, February 23, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: FedExForum

Conclusion

We predict the Grizzlies, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Monday, with Scotty Pippen projected for a game-high 35 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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