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Kings vs. Pacers prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/8/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Monday.
The Indiana Pacers and Sacramento Kings are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Monday, with tipoff at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Pacers as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Pacers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature players like Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard, while the Kings will look to Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Kings and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Pacers a 65% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Pacers winning 117-112.
According to our model, the Pacers (-3.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 232.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
Kings vs. Pacers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-102) | -3.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -162 |
| Total | o232.5 (-105) | u232.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +3.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | -162 |
| Total | Under 232.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Pacers to win.
Kings vs. Pacers player props
Betting on Sacramento vs. Indiana NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Zach LaVine is expected to lead the Kings with 20 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Pascal Siakam is projected to have 24 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Kings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine | 20 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 32 |
| R. Westbrook | 16 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 39 |
| Keegan Murray | 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 33 |
| Malik Monk | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 24 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 44 |
| B. Mathurin | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 37 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 15 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
| Jay Huff | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Ethan Thompson | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
Kings vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Pacers and Kings at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Monday, December 8, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Pacers, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Monday, with Pascal Siakam projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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