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West Coast Eagles vs. Richmond Tigers prediction: Why Eagles are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 8 matchup [5/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get West Coast Eagles vs Richmond Tigers predictions for AFL Saturday.
The West Coast Eagles and Richmond Tigers will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Optus Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:15 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Eagles as the most likely winner of the Tigers vs. Eagles game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Eagles vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win Round 8 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Tigers and Eagles, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Eagles a 64% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+17.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 183.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Richmond vs. West Coast odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +190 | -250 |
| Line (Spread) | +17.5 (-115) | -17.5 (-115) |
| Total | o183.5 (-115) | u183.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Eagles picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tigers +17.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +190 |
| Total | Under 183.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers +17.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Eagles vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Eagles and Tigers at Optus Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:15 AM ET.
- Who: Richmond Tigers vs. West Coast Eagles
- Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
- Time: 2:15 AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Optus Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Eagles, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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