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Real Madrid vs. Getafe prediction, odds, La Liga picks [3/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Real Madrid vs Getafe predictions for La Liga Monday.
Real Madrid and Getafe will lock horns in La Liga on Monday, with kickoff at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Real Madrid as the most likely winner of the Real Madrid vs. Getafe game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Real Madrid vs. Getafe prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's La Liga match between Real Madrid and Getafe 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 68.2% chance of Real Madrid winning, a 12.0% chance for Getafe, and a 19.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Real Madrid vs. Getafe odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Real Madrid | Getafe | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -300 | +950 | +450 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Real Madrid vs. Getafe picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Getafe | +950 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -102 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Getafe to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Real Madrid vs. Getafe: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Real Madrid win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MAD 2-0 GET | 13.3% |
| MAD 1-0 GET | 13.1% |
| MAD 2-1 GET | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.2% chance that both Real Madrid and Getafe score, and a 55.8% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Real Madrid vs. Getafe game-day updates and essential details
Monday's La Liga game between Real Madrid and Getafe is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Real Madrid vs. Getafe
- Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Real Madrid has a 68.2% win probability on Monday, Getafe has a 12.0% win probability, and there is a 19.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Real Madrid vs. Getafe insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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