Rays vs. Astros Prediction: Astros Predicted to Win Following New Analysis for Sunday's MLB Game [8/4/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Rays vs. Astros Prediction: Astros Predicted to Win Following New Analysis for Sunday's MLB Game [8/4/2024]

The Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays will meet in MLB action at Minute Maid Park on Sunday, starting at 2:10PM ET.

Spencer Arrighetti (4-9, 5.58 ERA) will get the ball for the Astros, pitting him against Hunter Bigge (0-0, 1.69 ERA) for the Rays.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Astros as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Rays-Astros game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Astros with a win probability of 61%, while the Rays have 39%."

Rays vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Astros and Rays at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to start at 2:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Rays vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Astros vs. Rays picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Rays vs. Astros Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Rays and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Astros a 61% chance of defeating the Rays.

According to our model, the Rays (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 4:37PM, Aug 4
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Rays
Win %
39%
61%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Astros
Rays TB
Win %
39%
61%
See Matchup
Astros HOU
Hunter Bigge 0-0, 1.69 ERA
Spencer Arrighetti 4-9, 5.58 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Rays vs. Astros Odds [8/4/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Rays Astros
Run Line +1.5 (-150) -1.5 (+130)
Moneyline +140 -155
Total o8.5 (-105) u8.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rays vs. Astros Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Rays vs. Astros matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Access 95 MLB bets, including a 14% edge
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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Rays on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rays vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay well-informed with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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