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Providence vs. Creighton prediction: Why Creighton is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Providence vs Creighton predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Creighton will face Providence in men's college basketball action at CHI Health Center Omaha on Saturday, beginning at 5:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Creighton as the most likely winner of the Providence vs. Creighton game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Providence vs. Creighton prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Providence and Creighton 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Creighton a 66% chance of defeating Providence. Our predicted final score has Creighton winning 82-78.
According to our model, Creighton (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 166.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Providence vs. Creighton odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Providence | Creighton |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-115) | -4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -184 |
| Total | o166.5 (-110) | u166.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Providence vs. Creighton picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Creighton -4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Creighton | -184 |
| Total | Under 166.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 166.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Providence vs. Creighton game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball game between Creighton and Providence at CHI Health Center Omaha is scheduled to start at 5:30 PM ET.
- Who: Providence vs. Creighton
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 5:30 PM ET/2:30PM PT
- Venue: CHI Health Center Omaha
Conclusion
We predict Creighton, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Providence on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Providence vs. Creighton insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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