Providence vs. Butler prediction: Providence favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/11/2026]

Butler will take on Providence, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday, commencing at 4:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Providence a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Butler.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's Providence vs. Butler matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Providence vs. Butler prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Providence and Butler 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Providence a 54% chance of beating Butler. Our predicted final score has Providence winning 81-80.

According to our model, Butler (+1.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 162.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Providence vs. Butler odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Providence	Butler
Spread	-1.5 (-115)	+1.5 (-104)
Moneyline	-125	+108
Total	o162.5 (-115)	u162.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Providence vs. Butler picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Butler +1.5	-104
Moneyline	Providence	-125
Total	Under 162.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 162.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Providence vs. Butler game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between Butler and Providence at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Providence vs. Butler
• Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

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Conclusion

We predict Providence, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Butler on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Providence vs. Butler insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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