Premier League betting tips: Saturday's picks include Arsenal vs. Manchester City play [4/18/2026]

Arsenal ML (+333)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 32%
• Matchup: Arsenal vs. Manchester City (11:30AM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Arsenal to defeat Manchester City at +333 odds. A 32% probability produces an edge of 8.9%, making this the strongest play for today's Premier League slate.

Liverpool ML (+135)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 48.5%
• Matchup: Liverpool vs. Everton (9:00AM ET, Sunday)

Liverpool ML carries a 5.9% edge and a probability of 48.5% at +135 odds, according to our model.

Burnley ML (+600)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 18.6%
• Matchup: Burnley vs. Nottingham Forest (9:00AM ET, Sunday)

Burnley ML at +600 odds shows a 4.3% edge, supported by a 18.6% probability in simulations.

Liverpool vs. Everton over 2.5 goals (-115)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Liverpool vs. Everton (9:00AM ET, Sunday)

A 4.2% edge and 57.7% probability make Liverpool vs. Everton over 2.5 goals at a value play in the Liverpool vs. Everton matchup, per our model.

Tottenham ML (+210)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 36.4%
• Matchup: Brighton vs. Tottenham (12:30PM ET, Saturday)

Tottenham ML at +210 odds presents a 4.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 36.4%.

Chelsea ML (+110)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Matchup: Manchester United vs. Chelsea (3:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on Chelsea to win at +110 odds, supported by an edge of 3.6%.

Sunderland ML (+420)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 21.6%
• Matchup: Sunderland vs. Aston Villa (9:00AM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on Sunderland ML at +420 odds. A 21.6% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's Premier League action.

Premier League best bets summary: Saturday, 4/18/2026

As of 12:01PM ET, here are our top Premier League bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Arsenal vs. Manchester City	Arsenal ML	+333 @ BetMGM	8.9%	32%
Liverpool vs. Everton	Liverpool ML	+135 @ DraftKings	5.9%	48.5%
Burnley vs. Nottingham Forest	Burnley ML	+600 @ FanDuel	4.3%	18.6%
Liverpool vs. Everton	Over 2.5 Goals	-115 @ DraftKings	4.2%	57.7%
Brighton vs. Tottenham	Tottenham ML	+210 @ DraftKings	4.1%	36.4%
Manchester United vs. Chelsea	Chelsea ML	+110 @ DraftKings	3.6%	51.3%
Sunderland vs. Aston Villa	Sunderland ML	+420 @ FanDuel	2.4%	21.6%

List of upcoming Premier League games to bet on [4/18/2026]

• Brighton vs. Tottenham (12:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Manchester United vs. Chelsea (3:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Sunderland vs. Aston Villa (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Liverpool vs. Everton (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Burnley vs. Nottingham Forest (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Arsenal vs. Manchester City (11:30AM ET, Sunday)

Conclusion

Our Premier League best bets are locked and loaded for April 18, 2026, featuring plays such as Arsenal ML and Liverpool ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.