Aston Villa vs. Sunderland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Sunderland Premier League match on April 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Sunderland
3
4
Villa Park
Aston Villa
Villa Park
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
SunderlandSUN
O. Watkins (2')
Soccer ball icon
O. Watkins (36')
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M. Rogers (46')
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T. Abraham (90')
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C. Rigg (9')
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T. Hume (86')
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W. Isidor (87')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Aston Villa
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sunderland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by T. Abraham, assisted by L. Digne
    3-4
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Mukiele (Sunderland) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Onana (Aston Villa) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Ballard (Sunderland) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by W. Isidor, assisted by E. Le Fee
    3-3
  6. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by T. Hume
    2-3
  7. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: W. Isidor replaces B. Brobbey
  8. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces J. McGinn
  9. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Abraham replaces O. Watkins
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces I. Maatsen
  11. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces R. Barkley
  12. 66'
    Yellow Card
    N. Sadiki (Sunderland) cautioned
  13. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: D. Ballard replaces O. Alderete
  14. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: T. Hume replaces R. Mandava
  15. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: C. Talbi replaces C. Rigg
  16. 46'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rogers, assisted by O. Watkins
    1-3
  17. 36'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by I. Maatsen
    1-2
  18. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by C. Rigg, assisted by N. Sadiki
    1-1
  19. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by J. McGinn
    0-1

Aston Villa vs. Sunderland: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Sunderland
  • Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa -130, Sunderland +400, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-104/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 54.4%
  • Sunderland: 21.6%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Aston Villa 1-0 Sunderland (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Aston Villa vs. Sunderland? Prediction & correct score

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.4%.

The most likely correct score is Aston Villa 1-0 Sunderland.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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