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Chelsea vs. Manchester United Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Manchester United Premier League match on April 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester United
1
0
Apr 18, 3:00 PM ET Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Apr 18, 3:00 PM ET Stamford Bridge
Score Summary
M. Cunha (43')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Chelsea
- Manchester United
Win Probability
Match Timeline
M. Mount (Manchester Utd) cautioned
K. Mainoo (Manchester Utd) cautioned
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces E. Fernandez
Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces B. Mbeumo
Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Mount replaces M. Cunha
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Acheampong replaces M. Gusto
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Chalobah replaces W. Fofana
Substitution for Manchester Utd: A. Diallo replaces B. Sesko
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by M. Cunha, assisted by B. Fernandes
1-0
J. Hato (Chelsea) cautioned
M. Cunha (Manchester Utd) cautioned
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Garnacho replaces Estevao
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Chelsea vs. Manchester United: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Chelsea vs. Manchester United
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Chelsea +115, Manchester United +240, draw +280
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-200/+163)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Chelsea: 50.3%
- Manchester United: 27.6%
- Draw: 22.0%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Chelsea 1-1 Manchester United (9.6%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Chelsea vs. Manchester United? Prediction & correct score
Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.3%.
The most likely correct score is Chelsea 1-1 Manchester United.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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