Manchester City vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Arsenal Premier League match on April 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
1
2
Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Etihad Stadium
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
R. Cherki (16')
Soccer ball icon
E. Haaland (65')
Soccer ball icon
K. Havertz (18')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Arsenal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: N. Ake replaces A. Semenyo
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces J. Doku
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: Nico replaces Rodri
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: P. Foden replaces R. Cherki
  5. 84'
    Yellow Card
    P. Guardiola (Manchester City) cautioned
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: V. Gyokeres replaces M. Zubimendi
  7. 83'
    Yellow Card
    Gabriel (Arsenal) cautioned
  8. 83'
    Yellow Card
    E. Haaland (Manchester City) cautioned
  9. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces E. Eze
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: B. White replaces C. Mosquera
  11. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland
    1-2
  12. 60'
    Yellow Card
    M. Guehi (Manchester City) cautioned
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces N. Madueke
  14. 36'
    Yellow Card
    C. Mosquera (Arsenal) cautioned
  15. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Havertz
    1-1
  16. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by R. Cherki, assisted by M. Nunes
    0-1

Manchester City vs. Arsenal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -115, Arsenal +350, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester City: 42.2%
  • Arsenal: 32.0%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester City 1-1 Arsenal (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Manchester City vs. Arsenal? Prediction & correct score

Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.2%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester City 1-1 Arsenal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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