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Trail Blazers vs. Suns prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [2/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Phoenix Suns will face the Portland Trail Blazers in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Trail Blazers as the most likely winner of the Trail Blazers vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature stars like Jalen Green, Grayson Allen and Collin Gillespie, while the Trail Blazers will be led by Deni Avdija, Jerami Grant and Jrue Holiday.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Blazers vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Trail Blazers and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Trail Blazers a 63% chance of beating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Trail Blazers winning 114-110.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Trail Blazers and Suns each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 221.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Trail Blazers vs. Suns odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Trail Blazers | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-105) | +3.5 (-125) |
| Moneyline | -150 | +130 |
| Total | o221.5 (-110) | u221.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Trail Blazers vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Trail Blazers -3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Trail Blazers | -150 |
| Total | Over 221.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Trail Blazers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Trail Blazers vs. Suns player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Portland vs. Phoenix game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Deni Avdija is expected to lead the Trail Blazers with 24 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jalen Green is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Trail Blazers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Trail Blazers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 24 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 48 |
| Jerami Grant | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Jrue Holiday | 15 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| Donovan Clingan | 12 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| Toumani Camara | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| Grayson Allen | 18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| C. Gillespie | 17 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 38 |
| Mark Williams | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 30 |
| Royce O'Neale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 31 |
Blazers vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Suns and Trail Blazers at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Trail Blazers, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Sunday, with Deni Avdija projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Trail Blazers vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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