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Trail Blazers vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [12/31/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Portland Trail Blazers in NBA action at Paycom Center on Wednesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Trail Blazers vs. Thunder game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Trail Blazers will be led by Deni Avdija, Shaedon Sharpe and Toumani Camara.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Blazers vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Trail Blazers and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder an 87% chance of defeating the Trail Blazers. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 122-109.
According to our model, the Trail Blazers (+15.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 232.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Trail Blazers | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +15.5 (-105) | -15.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +810 | -1100 |
| Total | o232.5 (-110) | u232.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Trail Blazers +15.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Trail Blazers | +810 |
| Total | Under 232.5 | -108 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Trail Blazers +15.5 at the spread.
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder player props
Looking for Trail Blazers vs. Thunder NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.
Deni Avdija is expected to lead the Trail Blazers with 25 points, 9 rebounds and 6 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 31 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Trail Blazers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Trail Blazers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 25 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 51 |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 21 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Toumani Camara | 13 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Donovan Clingan | 10 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| Caleb Love | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
Thunder prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 31 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 55 |
| Jalen Williams | 20 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 42 |
| Chet Holmgren | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 37 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Cason Wallace | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
Blazers vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Thunder and Trail Blazers at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, December 31, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Paycom Center
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat the Trail Blazers on Wednesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 55 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Trail Blazers vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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