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Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans prediction: Portland favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Thursday.
The New Orleans Pelicans and Portland blazers are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Trail Blazers as the most likely winner of the Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Trey Murphy, Saddiq Bey and Derik Queen, while the Trail Blazers will be led by Deni Avdija, Shaedon Sharpe and Jerami Grant.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Blazers vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Trail Blazers and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Trail Blazers a 61% chance of defeating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Trail Blazers winning 121-117.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+4.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 240.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Trail Blazers | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-108) | +4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -180 | +154 |
| Total | o240.5 (-110) | u240.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +4.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +154 |
| Total | Under 240.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 240.5 total points.
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Portland vs. New Orleans matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Deni Avdija is expected to lead the Trail Blazers with 28 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists, while Trey Murphy is projected to have 23 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Trail Blazers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Trail Blazers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 28 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 55 |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 23 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| Jerami Grant | 19 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| Toumani Camara | 14 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| Robert Williams | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 44 |
| Saddiq Bey | 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Derik Queen | 16 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 40 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Jose Alvarado | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
Blazers vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Pelicans and Trail Blazers at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Portland Trail Blazers vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Trail Blazers, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Thursday, with Deni Avdija projected for a game-high 55 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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