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NBA picks today: Thursday's best bets include Nuggets vs. Kings play [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get best NBA picks today and best bets for Thursday, December 11, 2025.
Today’s NBA picks for December 11, 2025 are here, with Nuggets vs. Kings and Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s NBA action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest basketball odds to unearth real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of NBA picks tonight [12/11, updated 8:31AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best basketball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, December 11, 2025.
Nuggets vs. Kings under 240.5 points (-110)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Matchup: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Our model has identified value on under 240.5 points in Nuggets vs. Kings at -110 odds. A 55.5% probability produces an edge of 3.1%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans under 239.5 points (-106)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 53.6%
- Matchup: Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans under 239.5 points carries a 2.2% edge and a probability of 53.6% at -106 odds, according to our model.
NBA best bets summary: Thursday, 12/11/2025
As of 8:31AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Kings | Under 240.5 Points | -110 @ DraftKings | 3.1% | 55.5% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans | Under 239.5 Points | -106 @ FanDuel | 2.2% | 53.6% |
List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [12/11/2025]
- Celtics vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Clippers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for December 11, 2025, featuring plays such as under 240.5 points in the Nuggets vs. Kings matchup and under 239.5 points in the Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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