Trail Blazers vs. Hawks prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Sunday's NBA game [3/1/2026]

The Atlanta Hawks and Portland blazers are scheduled to meet in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Trail Blazers vs. Hawks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, while the Trail Blazers will be led by Jerami Grant, Jrue Holiday and Scoot Henderson.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Blazers vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Trail Blazers and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Hawks a 70% chance of beating the Trail Blazers. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 120-114.

According to our model, the Trail Blazers (+6.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Trail Blazers vs. Hawks odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Trail Blazers	Hawks
Spread	+6.5 (-106)	-6.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+194	-225
Total	o235.5 (-110)	u235.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Trail Blazers vs. Hawks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Trail Blazers +6.5	-106
Moneyline	Hawks	-225
Total	Under 235.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 235.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Trail Blazers vs. Hawks player props

Looking for Portland vs. Atlanta NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Jerami Grant is expected to lead the Trail Blazers with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 24 points, 11 rebounds and 8 assists for the Hawks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Trail Blazers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Trail Blazers are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jerami Grant	20	4	3	2	35
Jrue Holiday	17	5	7	2	38
Scoot Henderson	14	3	5	2	30
Donovan Clingan	14	13	3	1	40
Toumani Camara	13	6	3	2	30

Hawks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Johnson	24	11	8	2	56
N. Alexander-Walker	18	3	4	3	35
CJ McCollum	17	3	3	2	32
Onyeka Okongwu	15	7	3	2	35
J. Kuminga	13	4	3	1	26

Blazers vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Hawks and Trail Blazers at State Farm Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Hawks, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Trail Blazers on Sunday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 56 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Trail Blazers vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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