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Portland State vs. Montana State prediction: Why Montana State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/26/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Portland State vs Montana State predictions for college basketball Thursday.

Portland State-Montana State Predictions and Game Preview.
Portland State vs. Montana State men's college basketball prediction for Thursday, February 26, 2026.

Montana State will face Portland State, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at Worthington Arena on Thursday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Montana State a slight edge with a 53% win probability over Portland State.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's Portland State vs. Montana State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Portland State vs. Montana State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Portland State and Montana State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Montana State a 53% chance of beating Portland State. Our predicted final score has Montana State winning 73-72.

According to our model, Portland State (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 141.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

 

Portland State vs. Montana State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Portland State Montana State
Spread +1.5 (-110) -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline +110 -124
Total o141.5 (-105) u141.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Portland State vs. Montana State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Portland State +1.5 -110
Moneyline Portland State +110
Total Over 141.5 -105

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 141.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Portland State vs. Montana State game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball game between Montana State and Portland State at Worthington Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Portland State vs. Montana State
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
  • Venue: Worthington Arena

Conclusion

We predict Montana State, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Portland State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Portland State vs. Montana State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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