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Steelers vs. Bengals prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win TNF Week 7, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals predictions for NFL Thursday.
The Cincinnati Bengals will square off with the favored Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 7 action at Paycor Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 8:15PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Steelers as the most likely winner of today's game.
This gameday Steelers vs. Bengals betting preview builds on my early Steelers vs. Bengals prediction that was published earlier in the week.
For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Steelers vs. Bengals predictions page.
Steelers vs. Bengals predictions
Since our Steelers-Bengals predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Steelers and Bengals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Steelers a 69% chance of beating the Bengals in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Steelers winning 24-19.
According to our model, the Bengals (+5.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.
Steelers vs. Bengals odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Steelers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-105) | +5.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | -245 | +210 |
| Total | o45 (-110) | u45 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Steelers vs. Bengals picks and best bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Steelers vs. Bengals matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Steelers vs. Bengals TD scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs. Bengals?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for TNF, Pittsburgh's Jaylen Warren is most likely to score the first TD in Steelers vs. Bengals.
Our projections give Warren a 10.9% chance of getting in for six first at Paycor Stadium, while the Steelers running back is a 42.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First touchdown scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (RB) | 10.9% |
| DK Metcalf (WR) | 9.7% |
| Kenneth Gainwell (RB) | 8.2% |
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown (RB) | 9.4% |
| Ja'Marr Chase (WR) | 9.2% |
| Tee Higgins (WR) | 6.5% |
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (RB) | 42.8% |
| DK Metcalf (WR) | 39.2% |
| Kenneth Gainwell (RB) | 34.4% |
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown (RB) | 41.2% |
| Ja'Marr Chase (WR) | 40.6% |
| Tee Higgins (WR) | 30.6% |
Steelers vs Bengals player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Bengals. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our NFL player projections page now to access player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.
Steelers vs. Bengals quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bengals' Joe Flacco.
Steelers rushing
Jaylen Warren, Kenneth Gainwell and Kaleb Johnson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Steelers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren | RB |
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB |
| Kaleb Johnson | RB |
Bengals rushing
Chase Brown, Samaje Perine and Tahj Brooks are expected to lead the Bengals in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown | RB |
| Samaje Perine | RB |
| Tahj Brooks | RB |
Steelers receiving
DK Metcalf, Jonnu Smith, Darnell Washington, Jaylen Warren and Kenneth Gainwell are projected to top the receiving yards for the Steelers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| DK Metcalf | WR |
| Jonnu Smith | TE |
| Darnell Washington | TE |
| Jaylen Warren | RB |
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB |
Bengals receiving
Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Noah Fant, Andrei Iosivas and Chase Brown are projected to lead the Bengals in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR |
| Tee Higgins | WR |
| Noah Fant | TE |
| Andrei Iosivas | WR |
| Chase Brown | RB |
Steelers vs. Bengals game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 7 matchup between the Bengals and Steelers at Paycor Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Date: Thursday, October 16, 2025
- Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
- Venue: Paycor Stadium
Dimers' in-depth preview of Thursday's Steelers vs. Bengals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Steelers vs. Bengals picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Steelers, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Bengals in Week 7 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Bengals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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