Steelers vs. Ravens prediction: Baltimore favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025

The Baltimore Ravens will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 14 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Ravens as the most likely winner of the Steelers vs. Ravens game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Steelers vs. Ravens prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Steelers-Ravens predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Steelers and Ravens 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Ravens a 70% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 24-19.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Steelers and Ravens each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.

Steelers vs. Ravens odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Steelers	Ravens
Spread	+5.5 (+100)	-5.5 (-112)
Moneyline	+225	-260
Total	o43.5 (-110)	u43.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Steelers vs. Ravens picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Steelers +5.5	+100
Moneyline	Steelers	+225
Total	Under 43.5	-105

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Steelers +5.5 at the spread.

Steelers vs. Ravens TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Steelers vs. Ravens?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime TD in Steelers vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Henry a 58.1% chance of scoring a TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the running back is a 15.1% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	34.3%
DK Metcalf (WR)	32.7%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	28.9%
Darnell Washington (TE)	16.3%
Pat Freiermuth (TE)	15.7%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	58.1%
Mark Andrews (TE)	35.3%
Zay Flowers (WR)	28.8%
Isaiah Likely (TE)	21.9%
Rashod Bateman (WR)	20.8%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	7.8%
DK Metcalf (WR)	7.3%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	6.3%
Darnell Washington (TE)	3.3%
Pat Freiermuth (TE)	3.2%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	First TD Probability
Derrick Henry (RB)	15.1%
Mark Andrews (TE)	7.6%
Zay Flowers (WR)	5.9%
Isaiah Likely (TE)	4.3%
Rashod Bateman (WR)	4.1%

Steelers vs Ravens player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Ravens. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 206 passing yards, while the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is expected to throw for 222 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Aaron Rodgers (PIT)	206
Lamar Jackson (BAL)	222

Steelers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jaylen Warren	56
Kenneth Gainwell	27
Kaleb Johnson	7

Ravens rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Derrick Henry	82
Lamar Jackson	33
Keaton Mitchell	18

Steelers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
DK Metcalf	52
Darnell Washington	25
Calvin Austin	25
Kenneth Gainwell	22
Pat Freiermuth	21

Ravens receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Zay Flowers	65
Mark Andrews	37
Isaiah Likely	30
Rashod Bateman	27
DeAndre Hopkins	21

Steelers vs. Ravens game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 14 action between the Ravens and Steelers at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
• Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers in Week 14 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Ravens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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