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Steelers vs. Ravens prediction: Baltimore favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens predictions for NFL Sunday.
NFL Week 14 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Ravens as the most likely winner of the Steelers vs. Ravens game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Steelers vs. Ravens prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Steelers-Ravens predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Steelers and Ravens 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Ravens a 70% chance of defeating the Steelers in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 24-19.
According to our model, the Steelers (+6) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 43-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.
Steelers vs. Ravens odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Steelers | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6 (-110) | -6 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +240 | -275 |
| Total | o43 (-110) | u43 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Steelers vs. Ravens picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers +6 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Steelers | +240 |
| Total | Over 43 | -110 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Steelers to win.
Steelers vs. Ravens TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Steelers vs. Ravens?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 14, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs. Ravens.
Our projections give Henry a 58.4% chance of scoring a TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the running back is a 15.1% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (RB) | 33.6% |
| DK Metcalf (WR) | 32.2% |
| Kenneth Gainwell (RB) | 29.0% |
| Darnell Washington (TE) | 16.4% |
| Pat Freiermuth (TE) | 16.3% |
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (RB) | 58.4% |
| Mark Andrews (TE) | 34.5% |
| Zay Flowers (WR) | 28.2% |
| Isaiah Likely (TE) | 21.8% |
| Rashod Bateman (WR) | 20.6% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (RB) | 7.5% |
| DK Metcalf (WR) | 7.2% |
| Kenneth Gainwell (RB) | 6.3% |
| Darnell Washington (TE) | 3.3% |
| Pat Freiermuth (TE) | 3.3% |
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (RB) | 15.1% |
| Mark Andrews (TE) | 7.3% |
| Zay Flowers (WR) | 5.7% |
| Isaiah Likely (TE) | 4.2% |
| Rashod Bateman (WR) | 4.0% |
Steelers vs Ravens player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Ravens. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 205 passing yards, while the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is expected to throw for 220 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers (PIT) | 205 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 220 |
Steelers rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren | 56 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 27 |
| Kaleb Johnson | 7 |
Ravens rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 83 |
| Lamar Jackson | 33 |
| Keaton Mitchell | 19 |
Steelers receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| DK Metcalf | 52 |
| Calvin Austin | 29 |
| Darnell Washington | 25 |
| Pat Freiermuth | 22 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 21 |
Ravens receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | 63 |
| Mark Andrews | 37 |
| Isaiah Likely | 31 |
| Rashod Bateman | 27 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 21 |
Steelers vs. Ravens game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Ravens and Steelers at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Ravens, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers in Week 14 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Ravens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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