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Penguins vs. Flyers prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [12/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers predictions for NHL Monday.
The Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins will meet in the NHL at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Flyers a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Penguins.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Penguins vs. Flyers matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Flyers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Penguins and Flyers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Flyers a 53% chance of beating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Penguins vs. Flyers odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-218) | -1.5 (+186) |
| Moneyline | +114 | -134 |
| Total | o5.5 (-122) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Flyers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins +1.5 | -218 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | +114 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -122 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins +1.5 at the spread.
Penguins vs. Flyers player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Flyers?
According to our model, Sidney Crosby is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Flyers.
Our projections give Crosby a 37.6% chance of scoring a goal at Xfinity Mobile Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 37.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 32.8% |
| Anthony Mantha | 25.8% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 24.5% |
| Thomas Novak | 22.7% |
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyson Foerster | 30.7% |
| Travis Konecny | 29.3% |
| Matvei Michkov | 28.7% |
| Owen Tippett | 28.0% |
| Trevor Zegras | 27.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 7.4% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.4% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.8% |
| Thomas Novak | 4.4% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 4.4% |
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyson Foerster | 5.9% |
| Owen Tippett | 5.2% |
| Travis Konecny | 5.2% |
| Matvei Michkov | 5.0% |
| Trevor Zegras | 4.8% |
Penguins vs. Flyers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Flyers and Penguins at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers
- Date: Monday, December 1, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
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Conclusion
We predict the Flyers, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Flyers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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