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Penguins vs. Canadiens prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [12/20/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Montreal Canadiens will square off with the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Bell Centre on Saturday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Canadiens as the most likely winner of the Penguins vs. Canadiens game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Habs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Penguins and Canadiens 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Canadiens a 55% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Penguins vs. Canadiens odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +122 | -142 |
| Total | o6 (-130) | u6 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Canadiens picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins +1.5 | -200 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | +122 |
| Total | Under 6 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.
Penguins vs. Canadiens player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Canadiens?
According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Canadiens.
Our projections give Caufield a 40.1% chance of scoring a goal at Bell Centre, while the star is an 8.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 38.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 35.8% |
| Rickard Rakell | 30.1% |
| Anthony Mantha | 24.5% |
| Thomas Novak | 21.2% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 40.1% |
| Nick Suzuki | 34.3% |
| Ivan Demidov | 31.0% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 26.4% |
| Zachary Bolduc | 25.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 8.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.6% |
| Rickard Rakell | 5.8% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.1% |
| Thomas Novak | 3.8% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 8.6% |
| Nick Suzuki | 6.6% |
| Ivan Demidov | 5.3% |
| Zachary Bolduc | 5.2% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 5.1% |
Penguins vs. Habs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Canadiens and Penguins at Bell Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Bell Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Canadiens, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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