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Penguins vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [12/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Chicago Blackhawks will take on the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at United Center on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Penguins vs. Blackhawks game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Penguins and Blackhawks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Penguins a 56% chance of defeating the Blackhawks.
According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Penguins vs. Blackhawks odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+155) | +1.5 (-185) |
| Moneyline | -150 | +134 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Blackhawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Blackhawks +1.5 | -185 |
| Moneyline | Blackhawks | +134 |
| Total | Under 6 | -110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks to win.
Penguins vs. Blackhawks player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Blackhawks?
According to our model, Tyler Bertuzzi is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Blackhawks.
Our projections give Bertuzzi a 41.0% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is an 8.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 37.7% |
| Bryan Rust | 35.2% |
| Rickard Rakell | 32.7% |
| Thomas Novak | 25.5% |
| Anthony Mantha | 25.0% |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 41.0% |
| Ryan Donato | 24.3% |
| Andre Burakovsky | 24.0% |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 23.6% |
| Jason Dickinson | 21.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 8.1% |
| Bryan Rust | 7.5% |
| Rickard Rakell | 6.4% |
| Anthony Mantha | 5.0% |
| Thomas Novak | 4.9% |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 8.1% |
| Andre Burakovsky | 4.7% |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 4.5% |
| Ryan Donato | 3.9% |
| Jason Dickinson | 3.9% |
Penguins vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Blackhawks and Penguins at United Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Chicago Blackhawks
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: United Center
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Blackhawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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