Suns vs. Heat prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [1/13/2026]

The Miami Heat and Phoenix Suns will lock horns in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Tuesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Heat as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Heat game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature stars like Tyler Herro, Norman Powell and Andrew Wiggins, while the Suns will rely on Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Collin Gillespie.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Suns vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Heat a 58% chance of defeating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 116-114.

According to our model, the Heat (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 230.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Suns vs. Heat odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Suns	Heat
Spread	+1.5 (-105)	-1.5 (-114)
Moneyline	+105	-122
Total	o230.5 (-140)	u230.5 (+115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Suns vs. Heat picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Heat -1.5	-114
Moneyline	Heat	-122
Total	Under 230.5	+115

According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Under 230.5 total points.

Suns vs. Heat player props

NBA player props are a common way to wager on Tuesday's Phoenix vs. Miami game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.

Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 24 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists, while Tyler Herro is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Heat.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Suns prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Devin Booker	24	4	7	2	45
Dillon Brooks	19	4	2	2	31
C. Gillespie	13	5	5	3	32
Mark Williams	13	9	2	0	31
Grayson Allen	12	3	3	2	26

Heat prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Tyler Herro	20	4	4	2	36
Norman Powell	20	3	2	3	32
Andrew Wiggins	17	5	3	2	33
Bam Adebayo	17	9	3	2	39
Jaime Jaquez	14	4	4	0	29

Suns vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Heat and Suns at Kaseya Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Miami Heat
• Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Kaseya Center

Conclusion

We predict the Heat, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Tuesday, with Devin Booker projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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