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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of NBA slate on 1/13.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, January 13, 2026—are live with the Bucks' Giannis Antetokounmpo projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Antetokounmpo, Victor Wembanyama and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA first basket predictions tonight (January 13, 2026)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Bucks | 20.0% |
| Victor Wembanyama | Spurs | 17.2% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Thunder | 16.5% |
| Zion Williamson | Pelicans | 15.4% |
| Stephen Curry | Warriors | 15.4% |
| Kevin Durant | Rockets | 15.2% |
| Luka Doncic | Lakers | 15.0% |
| Shaedon Sharpe | Trail Blazers | 14.0% |
| Jamal Murray | Nuggets | 13.6% |
| Norman Powell | Heat | 13.6% |
| Devin Booker | Suns | 13.1% |
| Jalen Johnson | Hawks | 13.0% |
| Alperen Sengun | Rockets | 12.9% |
| Aaron Gordon | Nuggets | 12.8% |
| Nikola Vucevic | Bulls | 12.7% |
NBA first basket picks today (January 13, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | Heat | 2.5% | +900 | 12.5% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Bucks | 2.2% | +460 | 20.0% |
| Matas Buzelis | Bulls | 1.8% | +900 | 11.8% |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Bulls | 1.5% | +950 | 11.0% |
| Jalen Johnson | Hawks | 1.2% | +750 | 13.0% |
| Andrew Wiggins | Heat | 1.1% | +900 | 11.1% |
| Norman Powell | Heat | 1.1% | +700 | 13.6% |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Hawks | 0.2% | +1000 | 9.3% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 1/13.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Tuesday, January 13, 2026, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Victor Wembanyama and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead our first basket projections, while Tyler Herro shapes as the strongest value play at +900. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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