Suns vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Friday's NBA matchup [12/5/2025]

The Houston Rockets and Phoenix Suns are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Toyota Center on Friday, starting at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Rockets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature players like Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson and Jabari Smith, while the Suns will look to Dillon Brooks, Collin Gillespie and Grayson Allen.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Suns vs. Rockets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Suns and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Rockets a 75% chance of defeating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 113-106.

According to our model, the Suns (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 218.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Suns vs. Rockets odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Suns vs. Rockets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Suns +8.5 at the spread.

Suns vs. Rockets player props

NBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Suns vs. Rockets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.

Dillon Brooks is expected to lead the Suns with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for the Rockets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Suns prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:

Rockets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:

Suns vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Rockets and Suns at Toyota Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Houston Rockets
• Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Toyota Center

Conclusion

We predict the Rockets, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Friday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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