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Suns vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 27 points in Saturday's NBA game [12/20/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Golden State Warriors will face the Phoenix Suns in NBA action at Chase Center on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski, while the Suns will be led by Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Collin Gillespie.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Suns vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Suns and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 67% chance of beating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 116-111.
According to our model, the Suns (+5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 226.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Suns vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-105) | -5.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +194 | -230 |
| Total | o226.5 (-110) | u226.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns +5.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Suns | +194 |
| Total | Over 226.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Suns +5.5 at the spread.
Suns vs. Warriors player props
Looking for Phoenix vs. Golden State NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 27 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Suns prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 23 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 43 |
| Dillon Brooks | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| C. Gillespie | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 32 |
| Mark Williams | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
| Royce O'Neale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 27 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 48 |
| Jimmy Butler | 21 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 42 |
| B. Podziemski | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Moses Moody | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| Quinten Post | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Suns vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Warriors and Suns at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Saturday, with Stephen Curry projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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