Suns vs. Hawks prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Friday's NBA game [1/23/2026]

The Atlanta Hawks will face the Phoenix Suns in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Friday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Hawks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu, while the Suns will rely on Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Grayson Allen.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Suns vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Suns a 58% chance of defeating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 115-113.

According to our model, the Hawks (+2.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Suns vs. Hawks odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Suns	Hawks
Spread	-2.5 (-115)	+2.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-144	+125
Total	o233.5 (-108)	u233.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Suns vs. Hawks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Hawks +2.5	-105
Moneyline	Suns	-144
Total	Under 233.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 233.5 total points.

Suns vs. Hawks player props

Looking for Suns vs. Hawks NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 24 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 25 points, 11 rebounds and 8 assists for the Hawks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Suns prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Devin Booker	24	4	6	2	44
Dillon Brooks	18	4	2	2	30
Grayson Allen	14	3	3	3	29
Jalen Green	13	3	3	2	25
Mark Williams	13	9	2	0	32

Hawks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Johnson	25	11	8	2	57
N. Alexander-Walker	19	4	3	3	34
Onyeka Okongwu	16	8	4	2	38
CJ McCollum	16	3	3	2	28
Dyson Daniels	11	6	6	0	33

Suns vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Hawks and Suns at State Farm Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Suns, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Friday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 57 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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